Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 342.650558 390.691466 444.830545 510.711493 589.184041 680.246535 794.765521
2024-12-29 271.804172 333.439313 409.660203 512.232475 648.805285 827.532352 1084.474330
2025-01-05 228.143662 293.027198 378.161693 500.582515 676.448789 927.059947 1324.909148
2025-01-12 200.606475 267.106286 358.560739 497.345093 709.746169 1035.362732 1599.936341
2025-01-19 173.636260 237.502845 328.505857 472.437859 703.927054 1080.259911 1782.210082
2025-01-26 163.924209 230.717045 329.570693 493.118432 771.042269 1253.978894 2235.057464
2025-02-02 157.600213 227.838545 335.589349 521.743194 855.631424 1475.966119 2852.954456
2025-02-09 146.436723 216.146416 326.128560 522.776269 891.203230 1614.580835 3346.109294
2025-02-16 133.912754 200.972354 309.187077 508.157741 894.595252 1689.397312 3719.847209
2025-02-23 123.699460 188.534077 295.386752 497.104470 902.588767 1775.061136 4153.140802
2025-03-02 118.794767 184.337416 295.049810 510.667865 962.316642 1989.068984 5024.203676
2025-03-09 112.645340 177.456325 289.238794 512.823353 998.197550 2156.591159 5843.125919
2025-03-16 105.109128 167.752620 277.762906 502.986485 1007.608700 2265.722366 6551.642648
2025-03-23 99.827693 161.587908 272.199487 504.527540 1043.690855 2456.045471 7663.601702
2025-03-30 93.437010 152.927571 261.137053 493.092983 1046.821315 2557.105893 8507.979210
2025-04-06 88.651303 146.804623 254.335989 489.915728 1069.753165 2722.974776 9743.126428
2025-04-13 81.872891 136.553161 238.686632 465.467758 1034.368688 2702.394811 10135.397384
2025-04-20 80.551312 136.346560 242.760639 485.767400 1120.328353 3095.713319 12885.346468
2025-04-27 80.020124 137.570707 249.787006 513.858525 1234.171601 3630.926171 17065.979096
2025-05-04 76.888108 133.550963 245.669368 514.872207 1271.240450 3906.707536 20048.700997
2025-05-11 72.605293 127.007623 235.750345 500.527246 1260.074855 3994.901716 21867.568577
2025-05-18 68.944062 121.477782 227.581298 489.679567 1257.913966 4120.927120 24182.205382
2025-05-25 67.553963 120.387144 228.855820 502.990529 1334.730383 4613.228253 30447.928580